Shadowy PARTY OF ECONOMY Through the eyes of official statistics, EMPLOYERS AND POPULATION, Bourgas, Burgas
More
than half of the population and more than a third of employers believe
that over the past three years there has been increasing the share of
shadow economy, establish survey of the Association of Industrial
Capital in Bulgaria (BICA).
The
data were presented at the roundtable organized jointly with the
National Statistics Institute, entitled "Informal Economy in the new
measurements and latest results, which NSI BICA and presented their
independent of each other on research results for the share of informal
economy in the country.
Investigation
of the Association of Industrial Capital in Bulgaria is conducted
primarily through direct methods of measuring the informal economy,
which - according to existing traditions across Europe - step on the
analysis of subjective assessments and present among different social
groups. Completed
surveys are among employers and people with various qualitative methods
- have held 281 house audit, 440 interviews with employers of the pilot
branches, 7 focus groups. In
parallel, BICA has used quantitative and representative methods - was
conducted among a national sample survey population (1000 persons) and
nationally representative survey of employers from all sectors (1000
persons). Currently being conducted nationally representative survey among employees.
Evidence suggests that as 53% of the population and 38% of the employers share of hidden economy in Bulgaria is growing. The
relative share as its frequency of occurrence is 42% according to the
minds of employers and 58% according to the minds of the population. (Additional
information on the study appears in the presentation of BICA: "Informal
Economy in the minds of employers and the general public: two eyes to
the shadowy side of the economy.")
Received by BICA results were compared with data from the National Statistical Institute. NSI
submit official measurements of the informal sector in the EUROSTAT
methodology based on the proportion of dootsenkite of gross value added
and gross domestic product completeness of unsupervised economy, which
are respectively 12.5% and 10.4% for 2008 ( Additional information is contained in the presentation of NIS: "The informal economy - how we measure the official statistics.)
Experts
determined the meeting of the two approaches used by BICA and NSI, as
the necessary basis for developing policies to curtail the informal
economy. Objective
condition and size of the informal sector determines the economic
situation in the country within a common European economic space. In
turn, perceptions and opinions of different social groups to informal
economy affect business initiatives and behavior of the labor market. Thus,
systematic and regular analysis of subjective assessments is essential
to forecasting the economic environment and public finances, which
itself determines the value of the study of BICA.
Round
table "Informal Economy in new measurements and latest results" is part
of the project "Reducing and preventing the informal economy,
implemented by BICA with financial support from the European Social
Fund.